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  1. #1
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    Unanswered: Article


  2. #2
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    In seven years the world's leading computing companies will be Chinese and Indian.

    Goodbye Microsoft. Goodbye IBM.

    Thanks for all the fish.

  3. #3
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    I hope not. I've seen their work

  4. #4
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    This is really sad for the U.S. computer science students who will find the jobs harder and harder in the future.

  5. #5
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    if you live in the west (i.e. rich economy) my advice is: forget being a programmer, that's a dead end

    become a tech writer good at translating business requirements into programming specs

    business doesn't just farm out the jobs without direction and supervision

    the low-paid tech workers in the third world aren't mind readers, and before they can build anything, they need to be told what it is

    clarity in writing the specs will be an extremely valuable skill
    rudy.ca | @rudydotca
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  6. #6
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    Originally posted by r937
    if you live in the west (i.e. rich economy) my advice is: forget being a programmer, that's a dead end

    become a tech writer good at translating business requirements into programming specs

    business doesn't just farm out the jobs without direction and supervision

    the low-paid tech workers in the third world aren't mind readers, and before they can build anything, they need to be told what it is

    clarity in writing the specs will be an extremely valuable skill
    True...but you still need to know garbage when you see it....and we deal with a lot of close/off shore....and let me tell you...

    over thinking a problem...whoah...to the nth degree....

    everything is a rocketship that doesn't meet spec...want to show how clever...uh, but it doesn't do what we asked for...

    clarity? Across time zone, language and cultural barriers...

    ok, if you say so....

    Sure, here you go...all of our private medical bills...alread cases of overseas blackmail...in the paper the other day...

    Sure, here transcript our private grand jury hearings...

    ect

    http://comment.cio.com/comments/13801.html

    http://209.157.64.200/focus/f-news/1023655/posts

    http://www.cio.com/archive/121503/itwork.html
    Last edited by Brett Kaiser; 01-09-04 at 13:56.
    Brett
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  7. #7
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    [shot in foot]
    And the best part is we sit here and give out answers...for free
    [/shot in foot]

    dooooooh
    Brett
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  8. #8
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    ...after 25 yrs in this business I've learned one thing...

    ...you must be a chameleon...adapt or die!! It really is a shame that some college produced another twit with an MBA giving birth to yet another brain f#rt. Then the rest just read it on the latest edition of
    an airline magazine...

    ...most don't realize their mistake until it's too late (e.g. outsourcing)

  9. #9
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    Originally posted by rocket39
    ...after 25 yrs in this business I've learned one thing...
    Got me beat by 2 years...

    ...most don't realize their mistake until it's too late (e.g. outsourcing)
    I'm not so sure...the instability in the world, coupled with the inability to meet deadlines are making persauvie arguments...

    And the Upper managment backlash against IT (because they made them feel stupid, IT's budget over runs, ect) pale in effeciency and market share...

    There's only so much cost to cut.....
    Brett
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  10. #10
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    Hm. The theory is quality matters more than cost?

    You need to understand deflationary economics. As more and more jobs get exported there’s two primary effects. Firstly overall the workforce deskills over time. Secondly, because there are fewer jobs, there’s less money in the economy, meaning overall people buy fewer things. The fall in demand for stuff, forces the price of stuff down, so in order to still make profit from making stuff, companies export even more jobs in order to get costs down. This is a self-reinforcing downward spiral.

    Conversely, in the places the jobs get imported to, the increase in salaried workers means overall there’s more money in the economy, meaning the demand to buy stuff rises. As Chinese people understand the culture, language and alphabet of China infinitely better than any westerner, the profitability of local Chinese enterprises rises.

    The key measure of time in computing is the technology refresh cycle, which in the US and EU has been lengthened by the dotcom recession. Conversely in the job importing countries, technology refresh is accelerating to the benefit of local suppliers. India is investing very heavily in Linux based solutions because it gives them a financial out of paying tax to Wintel. Over two technology refresh cycles, the balance of innovation will reach the catastrophe pivot and the lead in computing innovation will have left the US and left it permanently. The combined markets of China, India and Asia-Pacific outweigh all the US and EU put together.

    There needs to be a re-alignment in corporate thinking regarding the purpose and function of the western Company if the 21st Century is not to be the Asia-Pacific Century. It’s the quality of US and western management that needs to change, not the price of jobs.

  11. #11
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    Originally posted by Brett Kaiser
    Got me beat by 2 years...
    32 years here

    downsized (not outsourced) four times

    and currently, ahem, unemployed and looking for contracting work
    rudy.ca | @rudydotca
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  12. #12
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    ...so I guess what you're saying is I should learn to deal Blackjack???


    ...in order for management to change then our learning institutions need to change first. Since the current dogma has been generated by college professors the change would have to start there, and since our education system has become a wink-and-nod organization without any real objection how will this change come about. Our colleges are more concerned with turning out "well rounded" individuals without focusing on the technical skills they should be teaching. It is no wonder that students in other countries are so much more advanced. As a parent of several yutes I know how frustrating this can be since the current high school generation has been coddled beyond belief. These young individuals now believe that they "deserve" everything. What they really need is a large dose of reality...

  13. #13
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    It is ironic that our demand for profit and low-cost everything (some would call this greed) has created our current situation. How many of us have shopped for the cheapest dvd player or computer (as evidenced by the success of wal-mart) ... Not realizing that our own consumerism would consume our jobs. Maybe it is time for the people in developed countries (especially in the U.S.) to evaluate what is important in life. If we keep measuring everything by the bottom-line - then we will be treated like the bottom-line. Just a few of my "deep thoughts".

  14. #14
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    Originally posted by HanafiH
    Hm. The theory is quality matters more than cost?

    You need to understand deflationary economics. As more and more jobs get exported there’s two primary effects. Firstly overall the workforce deskills over time. Secondly, because there are fewer jobs, there’s less money in the economy, meaning overall people buy fewer things. The fall in demand for stuff, forces the price of stuff down, so in order to still make profit from making stuff, companies export even more jobs in order to get costs down. This is a self-reinforcing downward spiral.

    Conversely, in the places the jobs get imported to, the increase in salaried workers means overall there’s more money in the economy, meaning the demand to buy stuff rises. As Chinese people understand the culture, language and alphabet of China infinitely better than any westerner, the profitability of local Chinese enterprises rises.

    The key measure of time in computing is the technology refresh cycle, which in the US and EU has been lengthened by the dotcom recession. Conversely in the job importing countries, technology refresh is accelerating to the benefit of local suppliers. India is investing very heavily in Linux based solutions because it gives them a financial out of paying tax to Wintel. Over two technology refresh cycles, the balance of innovation will reach the catastrophe pivot and the lead in computing innovation will have left the US and left it permanently. The combined markets of China, India and Asia-Pacific outweigh all the US and EU put together.

    There needs to be a re-alignment in corporate thinking regarding the purpose and function of the western Company if the 21st Century is not to be the Asia-Pacific Century. It’s the quality of US and western management that needs to change, not the price of jobs.

    Whoah...impressive...seems like you're forecasting a good distance into the future there...too many variables to predicate I would dare to say...

    What college course did they teach that in?

    What happens per say, if India and pakistan go at it?

    And what if India starts to get the upper hand, and oh, I do not know, China weighs in on the side of pakistan ( I think they have a treaty)?

    How would you feel about the security of your data then?

    Also, ALL of these countries are outside the jurasdiction of the US goverment and therefore outside it's rules and regs AND prosecution...

    Lots of vairables....

    Always in motion is the future *

    * Yoda reference
    Last edited by Brett Kaiser; 01-09-04 at 15:20.
    Brett
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  15. #15
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    What happens per say, if India and pakistan go at it?
    Well, for sure memory prices for computers would jump through the roof.

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